Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13, 2026, features a historically competitive race that has tightened sharply in the final weeks, with the center-left opposition holding only a narrow edge over the governing bloc. This dynamic, combined with record advance voting—up roughly 40 percent from 2022 levels by early September—has driven trader expectations toward turnout in the 86-88 percent range. Sweden has maintained consistently high participation above 80 percent in recent cycles, reaching 84.2 percent in 2022, supported by widespread early voting options, strong civic engagement, and extensive local campaigning infrastructure. The 82-84 percent and 84-86 percent brackets also carry notable probability, reflecting the possibility that overall participation aligns closely with recent precedents despite elevated interest. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and campaign-driven factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật88%+ 20%
84-86% 7%
<82% <1%
82-84% 0
$7,144 KL.
$7,144 KL.
<82%
1%
82-84%
37%
84-86%
27%
86-88%
54%
88%+
14%
88%+ 20%
84-86% 7%
<82% <1%
82-84% 0
$7,144 KL.
$7,144 KL.
<82%
1%
82-84%
37%
84-86%
27%
86-88%
54%
88%+
14%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13, 2026, features a historically competitive race that has tightened sharply in the final weeks, with the center-left opposition holding only a narrow edge over the governing bloc. This dynamic, combined with record advance voting—up roughly 40 percent from 2022 levels by early September—has driven trader expectations toward turnout in the 86-88 percent range. Sweden has maintained consistently high participation above 80 percent in recent cycles, reaching 84.2 percent in 2022, supported by widespread early voting options, strong civic engagement, and extensive local campaigning infrastructure. The 82-84 percent and 84-86 percent brackets also carry notable probability, reflecting the possibility that overall participation aligns closely with recent precedents despite elevated interest. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and campaign-driven factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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