Recent Israeli election polls conducted after party lists closed in early September 2026 show Otzma Yehudit consistently projected to win 6–9 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as the party maintains a distinct far-right base focused on national security and settlement issues while competing for voters with Religious Zionism and newer right-wing lists such as Amcha Israel. Otzma Yehudit’s decision to run separately from Religious Zionism, despite calls for unity, and its recent petition to disqualify Ra’am have kept its profile high without producing major polling shifts. The broader political deadlock between Likud- and Yashar-led blocs has left smaller parties’ shares relatively stable in the final weeks before the October 27 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<4.5% 22%
4.5-5.5% 20%
7.5%+ 19%
5.5-6.5% 0
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
19%
4.5-5.5%
20%
5.5-6.5%
46%
6.5-7.5%
41%
7.5%+
27%
<4.5% 22%
4.5-5.5% 20%
7.5%+ 19%
5.5-6.5% 0
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$26 KL.
19%
4.5-5.5%
$13 KL.
20%
5.5-6.5%
$78 KL.
46%
6.5-7.5%
$114 KL.
41%
7.5%+
$312 KL.
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli election polls conducted after party lists closed in early September 2026 show Otzma Yehudit consistently projected to win 6–9 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as the party maintains a distinct far-right base focused on national security and settlement issues while competing for voters with Religious Zionism and newer right-wing lists such as Amcha Israel. Otzma Yehudit’s decision to run separately from Religious Zionism, despite calls for unity, and its recent petition to disqualify Ra’am have kept its profile high without producing major polling shifts. The broader political deadlock between Likud- and Yashar-led blocs has left smaller parties’ shares relatively stable in the final weeks before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$543Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli election polls conducted after party lists closed in early September 2026 show Otzma Yehudit consistently projected to win 6–9 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as the party maintains a distinct far-right base focused on national security and settlement issues while competing for voters with Religious Zionism and newer right-wing lists such as Amcha Israel. Otzma Yehudit’s decision to run separately from Religious Zionism, despite calls for unity, and its recent petition to disqualify Ra’am have kept its profile high without producing major polling shifts. The broader political deadlock between Likud- and Yashar-led blocs has left smaller parties’ shares relatively stable in the final weeks before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$543Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli election polls conducted after party lists closed in early September 2026 show Otzma Yehudit consistently projected to win 6–9 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 5–7.5% of the national vote. This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as the party maintains a distinct far-right base focused on national security and settlement issues while competing for voters with Religious Zionism and newer right-wing lists such as Amcha Israel. Otzma Yehudit’s decision to run separately from Religious Zionism, despite calls for unity, and its recent petition to disqualify Ra’am have kept its profile high without producing major polling shifts. The broader political deadlock between Likud- and Yashar-led blocs has left smaller parties’ shares relatively stable in the final weeks before the October 27 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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