Henry Cuellar's strong position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Texas' 28th Congressional District underpins trader consensus around his reelection chances. He secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and benefits from established local ties in Laredo and Webb County, along with a December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and prompted nonpartisan forecasters to shift the race rating to Lean Democratic. The mid-decade redistricting created a map more favorable to Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, while Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge endorsed by President Trump, won his primary outright but trails in available polling that shows Cuellar maintaining crossover support among Trump voters. Fundraising data through early September and the general election timeline on November 3 further reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-28 House Election Winner
TX-28 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
80%
Tano Tijerina (R)
18%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
$4,189 KL.
80%
Tano Tijerina (R)
$5,496 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar's strong position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Texas' 28th Congressional District underpins trader consensus around his reelection chances. He secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and benefits from established local ties in Laredo and Webb County, along with a December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and prompted nonpartisan forecasters to shift the race rating to Lean Democratic. The mid-decade redistricting created a map more favorable to Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, while Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge endorsed by President Trump, won his primary outright but trails in available polling that shows Cuellar maintaining crossover support among Trump voters. Fundraising data through early September and the general election timeline on November 3 further reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,684Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar's strong position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Texas' 28th Congressional District underpins trader consensus around his reelection chances. He secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and benefits from established local ties in Laredo and Webb County, along with a December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and prompted nonpartisan forecasters to shift the race rating to Lean Democratic. The mid-decade redistricting created a map more favorable to Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, while Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge endorsed by President Trump, won his primary outright but trails in available polling that shows Cuellar maintaining crossover support among Trump voters. Fundraising data through early September and the general election timeline on November 3 further reinforce the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,684Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Henry Cuellar's strong position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Texas' 28th Congressional District underpins trader consensus around his reelection chances. He secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and benefits from established local ties in Laredo and Webb County, along with a December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and prompted nonpartisan forecasters to shift the race rating to Lean Democratic. The mid-decade redistricting created a map more favorable to Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, while Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge endorsed by President Trump, won his primary outright but trails in available polling that shows Cuellar maintaining crossover support among Trump voters. Fundraising data through early September and the general election timeline on November 3 further reinforce the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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