Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$36,140 KL.
$36,140 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
5%
$36,140 KL.
$36,140 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
$6,061 KL.
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
$30,079 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,140Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$36,140Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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