Kathy Castor, the nine-term Democratic incumbent, benefits from high name recognition and established voter connections in the newly redrawn Florida 14th district, which now lies entirely within Hillsborough County and leans more Republican after 2026 redistricting. Mike Beltran, the Republican nominee who won the August 18 primary, faces her in the November 3 general election. Early July polling showed Castor ahead of top Republican contenders by single digits, though the district supported Donald Trump by 11 points in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee as the favorite aligns with typical incumbency effects in House races, while the Republican path depends on turnout and national conditions in this competitive seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$35,206 KL.
$35,206 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
36%
$35,206 KL.
$35,206 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,316 KL.
61%
Republican Party
$16,890 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor, the nine-term Democratic incumbent, benefits from high name recognition and established voter connections in the newly redrawn Florida 14th district, which now lies entirely within Hillsborough County and leans more Republican after 2026 redistricting. Mike Beltran, the Republican nominee who won the August 18 primary, faces her in the November 3 general election. Early July polling showed Castor ahead of top Republican contenders by single digits, though the district supported Donald Trump by 11 points in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee as the favorite aligns with typical incumbency effects in House races, while the Republican path depends on turnout and national conditions in this competitive seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,206Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor, the nine-term Democratic incumbent, benefits from high name recognition and established voter connections in the newly redrawn Florida 14th district, which now lies entirely within Hillsborough County and leans more Republican after 2026 redistricting. Mike Beltran, the Republican nominee who won the August 18 primary, faces her in the November 3 general election. Early July polling showed Castor ahead of top Republican contenders by single digits, though the district supported Donald Trump by 11 points in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee as the favorite aligns with typical incumbency effects in House races, while the Republican path depends on turnout and national conditions in this competitive seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,206Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor, the nine-term Democratic incumbent, benefits from high name recognition and established voter connections in the newly redrawn Florida 14th district, which now lies entirely within Hillsborough County and leans more Republican after 2026 redistricting. Mike Beltran, the Republican nominee who won the August 18 primary, faces her in the November 3 general election. Early July polling showed Castor ahead of top Republican contenders by single digits, though the district supported Donald Trump by 11 points in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee as the favorite aligns with typical incumbency effects in House races, while the Republican path depends on turnout and national conditions in this competitive seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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