South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, as evidenced by the party’s decisive primary victory for Marty Jackley on June 2, 2026, and the state’s consistent electoral patterns. With Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli advancing unopposed in her primary, the general election on November 3 faces limited structural competition in a state that has elected Republicans to the House for over a decade. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions that have altered outcomes in comparable districts. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,933 KL.
$16,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
27%
$16,933 KL.
$16,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,459 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, as evidenced by the party’s decisive primary victory for Marty Jackley on June 2, 2026, and the state’s consistent electoral patterns. With Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli advancing unopposed in her primary, the general election on November 3 faces limited structural competition in a state that has elected Republicans to the House for over a decade. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions that have altered outcomes in comparable districts. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, as evidenced by the party’s decisive primary victory for Marty Jackley on June 2, 2026, and the state’s consistent electoral patterns. With Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli advancing unopposed in her primary, the general election on November 3 faces limited structural competition in a state that has elected Republicans to the House for over a decade. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions that have altered outcomes in comparable districts. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, as evidenced by the party’s decisive primary victory for Marty Jackley on June 2, 2026, and the state’s consistent electoral patterns. With Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli advancing unopposed in her primary, the general election on November 3 faces limited structural competition in a state that has elected Republicans to the House for over a decade. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions that have altered outcomes in comparable districts. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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