Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, shows trader consensus favoring Republicans at 84% due to the Panhandle region's solid GOP base and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts. A crowded Republican primary, now with at least eight candidates including self-funded Keith Gross reporting over $5 million cash-on-hand as of early April, strengthens party positioning against a weaker Democratic field that has raised under $400,000 combined. No district-specific polls exist yet, but recent Democratic special election flips elsewhere in Florida have failed to dent the odds, with August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-02 House Election Winner
FL-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,946 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$2,537 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, shows trader consensus favoring Republicans at 84% due to the Panhandle region's solid GOP base and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts. A crowded Republican primary, now with at least eight candidates including self-funded Keith Gross reporting over $5 million cash-on-hand as of early April, strengthens party positioning against a weaker Democratic field that has raised under $400,000 combined. No district-specific polls exist yet, but recent Democratic special election flips elsewhere in Florida have failed to dent the odds, with August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,483Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, shows trader consensus favoring Republicans at 84% due to the Panhandle region's solid GOP base and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts. A crowded Republican primary, now with at least eight candidates including self-funded Keith Gross reporting over $5 million cash-on-hand as of early April, strengthens party positioning against a weaker Democratic field that has raised under $400,000 combined. No district-specific polls exist yet, but recent Democratic special election flips elsewhere in Florida have failed to dent the odds, with August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,483Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, shows trader consensus favoring Republicans at 84% due to the Panhandle region's solid GOP base and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts. A crowded Republican primary, now with at least eight candidates including self-funded Keith Gross reporting over $5 million cash-on-hand as of early April, strengthens party positioning against a weaker Democratic field that has raised under $400,000 combined. No district-specific polls exist yet, but recent Democratic special election flips elsewhere in Florida have failed to dent the odds, with August 18 primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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