Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,858 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$200 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,058Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,058Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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