Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-06 House Election Winner
OH-06 House Election Winner
$22,964 KL.
$22,964 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$22,964 KL.
$22,964 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,939 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$11,025 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,964Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$22,964Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in Ohio’s 6th district. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and covers rural Appalachian counties plus areas around Youngstown and Steubenville, producing consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Rulli’s 2024 special-election win and the district’s structural advantages have anchored trader consensus near 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic primary turnout and modest fundraising further reinforce the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require departures from established voting patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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