Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in Ohio's 11th Congressional District race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+28) and her history of general election landslides above 77% since 2021. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the urban Cleveland seat's deep-blue lean, with 76.8% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Brown's April 4 campaign kickoff and $1.15 million cash-on-hand dwarf primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, while Republican primary contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner show no fundraising. The May 5 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP upset would require a major Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or national midterm wave to shift odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in Ohio's 11th Congressional District race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+28) and her history of general election landslides above 77% since 2021. Recent redistricting in October 2025 preserved the urban Cleveland seat's deep-blue lean, with 76.8% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Brown's April 4 campaign kickoff and $1.15 million cash-on-hand dwarf primary challengers Sean Freeman and Ardelia Holmes, while Republican primary contenders James Hemphill and Mike Kirchner show no fundraising. The May 5 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a GOP upset would require a major Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or national midterm wave to shift odds.
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