Florida's 1st Congressional District (FL-01), rated Solid Republican with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican Party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the April 2025 special election by 15 points against Democrat Gay Valimont despite heavy Democratic spending, holds a commanding financial edge with over $500,000 cash on hand as of late March 2026, far outpacing Valimont's $24,000 in her third consecutive bid. Multiple Republican primary challengers, including Douglas Chico and John Frankman, have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary, but forecasters like Cook Political Report maintain the seat as safely Republican. Realistic challenges include a disruptive GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, a major scandal or health issue for Patronis, or an unprecedented Democratic midterm wave in this Trump +37 district from 2024.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-01 House Election Winner
FL-01 House Election Winner
$87,769 KL.
$87,769 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$87,769 KL.
$87,769 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$69,043 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,726 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District (FL-01), rated Solid Republican with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican Party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the April 2025 special election by 15 points against Democrat Gay Valimont despite heavy Democratic spending, holds a commanding financial edge with over $500,000 cash on hand as of late March 2026, far outpacing Valimont's $24,000 in her third consecutive bid. Multiple Republican primary challengers, including Douglas Chico and John Frankman, have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary, but forecasters like Cook Political Report maintain the seat as safely Republican. Realistic challenges include a disruptive GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, a major scandal or health issue for Patronis, or an unprecedented Democratic midterm wave in this Trump +37 district from 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87,769Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District (FL-01), rated Solid Republican with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican Party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the April 2025 special election by 15 points against Democrat Gay Valimont despite heavy Democratic spending, holds a commanding financial edge with over $500,000 cash on hand as of late March 2026, far outpacing Valimont's $24,000 in her third consecutive bid. Multiple Republican primary challengers, including Douglas Chico and John Frankman, have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary, but forecasters like Cook Political Report maintain the seat as safely Republican. Realistic challenges include a disruptive GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, a major scandal or health issue for Patronis, or an unprecedented Democratic midterm wave in this Trump +37 district from 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$87,769Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st Congressional District (FL-01), rated Solid Republican with an R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican Party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the April 2025 special election by 15 points against Democrat Gay Valimont despite heavy Democratic spending, holds a commanding financial edge with over $500,000 cash on hand as of late March 2026, far outpacing Valimont's $24,000 in her third consecutive bid. Multiple Republican primary challengers, including Douglas Chico and John Frankman, have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary, but forecasters like Cook Political Report maintain the seat as safely Republican. Realistic challenges include a disruptive GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, a major scandal or health issue for Patronis, or an unprecedented Democratic midterm wave in this Trump +37 district from 2024.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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