Utah's 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in 2024 and reinforced by post-redistricting boundaries that place two former Republican incumbents in competition for the seat. Mike Kennedy, the sitting representative from the neighboring 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Republicans aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate profiles make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,043 KL.
$15,043 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 KL.
$15,043 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,494 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in 2024 and reinforced by post-redistricting boundaries that place two former Republican incumbents in competition for the seat. Mike Kennedy, the sitting representative from the neighboring 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Republicans aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate profiles make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,043Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in 2024 and reinforced by post-redistricting boundaries that place two former Republican incumbents in competition for the seat. Mike Kennedy, the sitting representative from the neighboring 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Republicans aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate profiles make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,043Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in 2024 and reinforced by post-redistricting boundaries that place two former Republican incumbents in competition for the seat. Mike Kennedy, the sitting representative from the neighboring 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Republicans aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A late-breaking scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate profiles make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp