Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat following court-ordered redistricting, with the party's nominee expected to benefit from strong conservative support across its rural counties and southern regions. The modest edge for Republicans in current trader consensus reflects the competitive June 23 primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman, whose convention results and recent debate have kept attention on candidate strength and turnout. Democrat Kent Udell, who advanced without opposition after the primary was canceled, will face the Republican winner in the November general election. Historical patterns in the district and limited polling underscore the structural advantages for the GOP, while primary dynamics introduce the main near-term variable for probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
10%
Republican Party
59%
Democratic Party
10%
Republican Party
59%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat following court-ordered redistricting, with the party's nominee expected to benefit from strong conservative support across its rural counties and southern regions. The modest edge for Republicans in current trader consensus reflects the competitive June 23 primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman, whose convention results and recent debate have kept attention on candidate strength and turnout. Democrat Kent Udell, who advanced without opposition after the primary was canceled, will face the Republican winner in the November general election. Historical patterns in the district and limited polling underscore the structural advantages for the GOP, while primary dynamics introduce the main near-term variable for probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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