Utah's newly configured 3rd congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its eastern and southern Utah base, which delivered a 41-point Trump margin in the prior cycle and carries a solid Republican partisan voting index. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Republican primary between Celeste Maloy and Phil Lyman, featuring a recent debate, introduces some intra-party uncertainty that shapes trader assessments, while Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed after the June primary was canceled. These structural and timing elements underpin the current market positioning for the two major parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
10%
Republican Party
54%
Democratic Party
10%
Republican Party
54%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's newly configured 3rd congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its eastern and southern Utah base, which delivered a 41-point Trump margin in the prior cycle and carries a solid Republican partisan voting index. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Republican primary between Celeste Maloy and Phil Lyman, featuring a recent debate, introduces some intra-party uncertainty that shapes trader assessments, while Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed after the June primary was canceled. These structural and timing elements underpin the current market positioning for the two major parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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