Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, the incumbent who narrowly held the seat in 2024 despite the district’s R+2 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 win there, faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in the November 3 general election. Washington’s August 4 top-two primary advanced both candidates after Perez and Braun each outpaced other contenders in their parties. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-July showed a statistical tie, underscoring the district’s competitiveness and the importance of turnout among swing voters in southwest Washington. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of victory, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in closely contested House races even when general-election polling remains tight. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$27,127 KL.
$27,127 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$27,127 KL.
$27,127 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,358 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$9,770 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, the incumbent who narrowly held the seat in 2024 despite the district’s R+2 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 win there, faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in the November 3 general election. Washington’s August 4 top-two primary advanced both candidates after Perez and Braun each outpaced other contenders in their parties. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-July showed a statistical tie, underscoring the district’s competitiveness and the importance of turnout among swing voters in southwest Washington. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of victory, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in closely contested House races even when general-election polling remains tight. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, the incumbent who narrowly held the seat in 2024 despite the district’s R+2 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 win there, faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in the November 3 general election. Washington’s August 4 top-two primary advanced both candidates after Perez and Braun each outpaced other contenders in their parties. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-July showed a statistical tie, underscoring the district’s competitiveness and the importance of turnout among swing voters in southwest Washington. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of victory, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in closely contested House races even when general-election polling remains tight. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, the incumbent who narrowly held the seat in 2024 despite the district’s R+2 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 win there, faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in the November 3 general election. Washington’s August 4 top-two primary advanced both candidates after Perez and Braun each outpaced other contenders in their parties. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-July showed a statistical tie, underscoring the district’s competitiveness and the importance of turnout among swing voters in southwest Washington. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of victory, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in closely contested House races even when general-election polling remains tight. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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