Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, edging him in early vote tallies while Democrats posted stronger overall turnout. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters in a district with a Cook PVI of R+2 that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet shows gradual Democratic movement. Perez’s prior general-election victories in this swing seat underscore her cross-aisle appeal and fundraising edge, factors traders cite when assigning the Democratic nominee an 87.5% implied probability. Braun benefits from Trump’s endorsement and Republican base mobilization, though recent polling showed the candidates statistically tied before the primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and any late shifts in this battleground.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$27,127 KL.
$27,127 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$27,127 KL.
$27,127 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,358 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$9,770 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, edging him in early vote tallies while Democrats posted stronger overall turnout. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters in a district with a Cook PVI of R+2 that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet shows gradual Democratic movement. Perez’s prior general-election victories in this swing seat underscore her cross-aisle appeal and fundraising edge, factors traders cite when assigning the Democratic nominee an 87.5% implied probability. Braun benefits from Trump’s endorsement and Republican base mobilization, though recent polling showed the candidates statistically tied before the primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and any late shifts in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, edging him in early vote tallies while Democrats posted stronger overall turnout. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters in a district with a Cook PVI of R+2 that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet shows gradual Democratic movement. Perez’s prior general-election victories in this swing seat underscore her cross-aisle appeal and fundraising edge, factors traders cite when assigning the Democratic nominee an 87.5% implied probability. Braun benefits from Trump’s endorsement and Republican base mobilization, though recent polling showed the candidates statistically tied before the primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and any late shifts in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,127Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, edging him in early vote tallies while Democrats posted stronger overall turnout. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters in a district with a Cook PVI of R+2 that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet shows gradual Democratic movement. Perez’s prior general-election victories in this swing seat underscore her cross-aisle appeal and fundraising edge, factors traders cite when assigning the Democratic nominee an 87.5% implied probability. Braun benefits from Trump’s endorsement and Republican base mobilization, though recent polling showed the candidates statistically tied before the primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and any late shifts in this battleground.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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