Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and conservative voter base across northern and western portions of the state. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination with over 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, advancing against Democrat Kaylee Peterson, who won her party's contest, along with minor-party and independent candidates. This partisan composition and consistent electoral history have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected incumbent withdrawal due to health or personal factors, a late major scandal, or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$34,550 KL.
$34,550 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
$34,550 KL.
$34,550 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,726 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$12,824 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and conservative voter base across northern and western portions of the state. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination with over 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, advancing against Democrat Kaylee Peterson, who won her party's contest, along with minor-party and independent candidates. This partisan composition and consistent electoral history have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected incumbent withdrawal due to health or personal factors, a late major scandal, or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,550Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and conservative voter base across northern and western portions of the state. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination with over 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, advancing against Democrat Kaylee Peterson, who won her party's contest, along with minor-party and independent candidates. This partisan composition and consistent electoral history have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected incumbent withdrawal due to health or personal factors, a late major scandal, or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,550Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and conservative voter base across northern and western portions of the state. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination with over 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, advancing against Democrat Kaylee Peterson, who won her party's contest, along with minor-party and independent candidates. This partisan composition and consistent electoral history have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unexpected incumbent withdrawal due to health or personal factors, a late major scandal, or an extraordinary national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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