The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District due to its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge but benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in a rural Eastern Shore district. Democratic primary contenders, including Dan Schwartz and others, are focused on turnout and messaging against the incumbent ahead of the June 23 primaries, yet the seat’s structural lean and historical voting patterns limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these durable factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$10,933 KL.
$10,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
22%
$10,933 KL.
$10,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,375 KL.
75%
Democratic Party
$4,558 KL.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District due to its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge but benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in a rural Eastern Shore district. Democratic primary contenders, including Dan Schwartz and others, are focused on turnout and messaging against the incumbent ahead of the June 23 primaries, yet the seat’s structural lean and historical voting patterns limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these durable factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District due to its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge but benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in a rural Eastern Shore district. Democratic primary contenders, including Dan Schwartz and others, are focused on turnout and messaging against the incumbent ahead of the June 23 primaries, yet the seat’s structural lean and historical voting patterns limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these durable factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District due to its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge but benefits from established name recognition and fundraising in a rural Eastern Shore district. Democratic primary contenders, including Dan Schwartz and others, are focused on turnout and messaging against the incumbent ahead of the June 23 primaries, yet the seat’s structural lean and historical voting patterns limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these durable factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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