Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong reelection bid in Maryland's Republican-leaning 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a GOP victory. Harris, seeking a ninth term since 2011, boasts dominant fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers in both the June 23 Republican primary—where he faces underfunded Christopher Bruneau—and fragmented Democratic primary contenders like Dan Schwartz. Historical margins, including Harris's 60%-38% 2024 win, underscore the district's reliability for Republicans on the Eastern Shore, with no recent polling or scandals shifting sentiment ahead of primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
19%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,844 KL.
81%
Democratic Party
$2,479 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong reelection bid in Maryland's Republican-leaning 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a GOP victory. Harris, seeking a ninth term since 2011, boasts dominant fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers in both the June 23 Republican primary—where he faces underfunded Christopher Bruneau—and fragmented Democratic primary contenders like Dan Schwartz. Historical margins, including Harris's 60%-38% 2024 win, underscore the district's reliability for Republicans on the Eastern Shore, with no recent polling or scandals shifting sentiment ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,323Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong reelection bid in Maryland's Republican-leaning 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a GOP victory. Harris, seeking a ninth term since 2011, boasts dominant fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers in both the June 23 Republican primary—where he faces underfunded Christopher Bruneau—and fragmented Democratic primary contenders like Dan Schwartz. Historical margins, including Harris's 60%-38% 2024 win, underscore the district's reliability for Republicans on the Eastern Shore, with no recent polling or scandals shifting sentiment ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,323Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's strong reelection bid in Maryland's Republican-leaning 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for a GOP victory. Harris, seeking a ninth term since 2011, boasts dominant fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers in both the June 23 Republican primary—where he faces underfunded Christopher Bruneau—and fragmented Democratic primary contenders like Dan Schwartz. Historical margins, including Harris's 60%-38% 2024 win, underscore the district's reliability for Republicans on the Eastern Shore, with no recent polling or scandals shifting sentiment ahead of primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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