Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+11, her long incumbency since 2009, and repeated reelection margins exceeding 20 points, most recently 58-59% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee for the second consecutive cycle after winning his June 9 primary, faces the same structural headwinds in a district that includes Portland and coastal southern Maine. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or an unprecedented surge in Republican turnout that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$45,038 KL.
$45,038 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
3%
$45,038 KL.
$45,038 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
$30,137 KL.
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
$14,900 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+11, her long incumbency since 2009, and repeated reelection margins exceeding 20 points, most recently 58-59% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee for the second consecutive cycle after winning his June 9 primary, faces the same structural headwinds in a district that includes Portland and coastal southern Maine. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or an unprecedented surge in Republican turnout that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,038Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+11, her long incumbency since 2009, and repeated reelection margins exceeding 20 points, most recently 58-59% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee for the second consecutive cycle after winning his June 9 primary, faces the same structural headwinds in a district that includes Portland and coastal southern Maine. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or an unprecedented surge in Republican turnout that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,038Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+11, her long incumbency since 2009, and repeated reelection margins exceeding 20 points, most recently 58-59% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee for the second consecutive cycle after winning his June 9 primary, faces the same structural headwinds in a district that includes Portland and coastal southern Maine. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or an unprecedented surge in Republican turnout that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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