Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and the 2024 general election where incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured 58.2% of the vote. Olszewski faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican nominees remain low-profile perennial candidates with limited fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the 94.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$10,647 KL.
$10,647 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,647 KL.
$10,647 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,466 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$2,181 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and the 2024 general election where incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured 58.2% of the vote. Olszewski faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican nominees remain low-profile perennial candidates with limited fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the 94.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,647Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and the 2024 general election where incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured 58.2% of the vote. Olszewski faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican nominees remain low-profile perennial candidates with limited fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the 94.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,647Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and the 2024 general election where incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured 58.2% of the vote. Olszewski faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican nominees remain low-profile perennial candidates with limited fundraising and name recognition. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors underpin the 94.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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