Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and holds a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Baltimore County and surrounding areas. Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary but enters the general election with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources, consistent with historical performance in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unexpected primary outcome, major national political realignment, or late-cycle events capable of altering turnout among core Democratic voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$10,647 KL.
$10,647 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,647 KL.
$10,647 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,466 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$2,181 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and holds a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Baltimore County and surrounding areas. Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary but enters the general election with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources, consistent with historical performance in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unexpected primary outcome, major national political realignment, or late-cycle events capable of altering turnout among core Democratic voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,647Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and holds a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Baltimore County and surrounding areas. Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary but enters the general election with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources, consistent with historical performance in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unexpected primary outcome, major national political realignment, or late-cycle events capable of altering turnout among core Democratic voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,647Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and holds a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Baltimore County and surrounding areas. Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary but enters the general election with established name recognition and fundraising capacity. Republican candidates remain limited in profile and resources, consistent with historical performance in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unexpected primary outcome, major national political realignment, or late-cycle events capable of altering turnout among core Democratic voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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