Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced with over 86% in her primary. Oregon's 4th District, encompassing Eugene and Corvallis, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Hoyle winning reelection in 2024 by about 52%. As the sitting member with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election, Hoyle faces no evident structural or polling shifts that would alter the district's partisan balance. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these baseline factors and the absence of competitive late developments in this cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
$11,774 KL.
$11,774 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
7%
$11,774 KL.
$11,774 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,149 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$2,626 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced with over 86% in her primary. Oregon's 4th District, encompassing Eugene and Corvallis, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Hoyle winning reelection in 2024 by about 52%. As the sitting member with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election, Hoyle faces no evident structural or polling shifts that would alter the district's partisan balance. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these baseline factors and the absence of competitive late developments in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,774Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced with over 86% in her primary. Oregon's 4th District, encompassing Eugene and Corvallis, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Hoyle winning reelection in 2024 by about 52%. As the sitting member with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election, Hoyle faces no evident structural or polling shifts that would alter the district's partisan balance. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these baseline factors and the absence of competitive late developments in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,774Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Monique DeSpain advanced with over 86% in her primary. Oregon's 4th District, encompassing Eugene and Corvallis, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Hoyle winning reelection in 2024 by about 52%. As the sitting member with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election, Hoyle faces no evident structural or polling shifts that would alter the district's partisan balance. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these baseline factors and the absence of competitive late developments in this cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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