California's 44th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán, serving since 2017, faces Republican Genevieve Angel and a write-in Democratic challenger in the June 2, 2026, primary ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, with no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling indicating vulnerability. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could alter the outlook, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-44 House Election Winner
CA-44 House Election Winner
$23,035 KL.
$23,035 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,035 KL.
$23,035 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,854 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$8,181 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán, serving since 2017, faces Republican Genevieve Angel and a write-in Democratic challenger in the June 2, 2026, primary ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, with no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling indicating vulnerability. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could alter the outlook, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,035Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán, serving since 2017, faces Republican Genevieve Angel and a write-in Democratic challenger in the June 2, 2026, primary ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, with no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling indicating vulnerability. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could alter the outlook, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,035Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 44th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent results in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán, serving since 2017, faces Republican Genevieve Angel and a write-in Democratic challenger in the June 2, 2026, primary ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, with no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling indicating vulnerability. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could alter the outlook, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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