David Crowley’s narrow Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong on August 11 has positioned him as the clear favorite in Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent head-to-head polls, including Marquette’s late-August survey showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters, reflect his strength as Milwaukee County executive with a record of cross-aisle work and establishment backing from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds from his consistent alignment with President Trump in a swing state. Early general-election advertising and fundraising surges for Crowley have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold on November 3, though the contest remains competitive given Wisconsin’s history of close outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$548,316 KL.
$548,316 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
19%
$548,316 KL.
$548,316 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$288,916 KL.
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$259,400 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong on August 11 has positioned him as the clear favorite in Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent head-to-head polls, including Marquette’s late-August survey showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters, reflect his strength as Milwaukee County executive with a record of cross-aisle work and establishment backing from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds from his consistent alignment with President Trump in a swing state. Early general-election advertising and fundraising surges for Crowley have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold on November 3, though the contest remains competitive given Wisconsin’s history of close outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$548,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong on August 11 has positioned him as the clear favorite in Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent head-to-head polls, including Marquette’s late-August survey showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters, reflect his strength as Milwaukee County executive with a record of cross-aisle work and establishment backing from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds from his consistent alignment with President Trump in a swing state. Early general-election advertising and fundraising surges for Crowley have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold on November 3, though the contest remains competitive given Wisconsin’s history of close outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$548,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley’s narrow Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong on August 11 has positioned him as the clear favorite in Wisconsin’s open gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Recent head-to-head polls, including Marquette’s late-August survey showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters, reflect his strength as Milwaukee County executive with a record of cross-aisle work and establishment backing from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds from his consistent alignment with President Trump in a swing state. Early general-election advertising and fundraising surges for Crowley have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold on November 3, though the contest remains competitive given Wisconsin’s history of close outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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