Incumbent Democratic Representative Lou Correa anchors the race in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a D+10 to D+11 partisan voting index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2, 2026 contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing expectations of a straightforward general-election path on November 3. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because the district's voter base, redistricting outcomes, and historical turnout patterns create structural barriers to a Republican upset, though a major scandal, sharp national shift against Democrats, or unusually strong GOP candidate could narrow the gap before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-46 House Election Winner
CA-46 House Election Winner
$11,084 KL.
$11,084 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,084 KL.
$11,084 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,449 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$8,635 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lou Correa anchors the race in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a D+10 to D+11 partisan voting index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2, 2026 contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing expectations of a straightforward general-election path on November 3. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because the district's voter base, redistricting outcomes, and historical turnout patterns create structural barriers to a Republican upset, though a major scandal, sharp national shift against Democrats, or unusually strong GOP candidate could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,084Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lou Correa anchors the race in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a D+10 to D+11 partisan voting index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2, 2026 contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing expectations of a straightforward general-election path on November 3. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because the district's voter base, redistricting outcomes, and historical turnout patterns create structural barriers to a Republican upset, though a major scandal, sharp national shift against Democrats, or unusually strong GOP candidate could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,084Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Lou Correa anchors the race in California's 46th congressional district, a seat with a D+10 to D+11 partisan voting index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Primary filings ahead of the June 2, 2026 contest show multiple Democratic entrants alongside limited Republican opposition, reinforcing expectations of a straightforward general-election path on November 3. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because the district's voter base, redistricting outcomes, and historical turnout patterns create structural barriers to a Republican upset, though a major scandal, sharp national shift against Democrats, or unusually strong GOP candidate could narrow the gap before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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