Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural edge in Ohio's 15th district, rated R+5 on the partisan voting index, against Democratic nominee Don Leonard. Primaries concluded in May 2026, setting up the November 3 general election. A July 2026 poll showed Carey at 45% and Leonard at 40%, indicating competitiveness, yet broader ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Republican. Trader positioning at 78.5% for Republicans versus 22.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in modestly Republican-leaning districts, with limited late-cycle developments reported to shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
23%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,438 KL.
79%
Democratic Party
$4,697 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural edge in Ohio's 15th district, rated R+5 on the partisan voting index, against Democratic nominee Don Leonard. Primaries concluded in May 2026, setting up the November 3 general election. A July 2026 poll showed Carey at 45% and Leonard at 40%, indicating competitiveness, yet broader ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Republican. Trader positioning at 78.5% for Republicans versus 22.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in modestly Republican-leaning districts, with limited late-cycle developments reported to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,135Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural edge in Ohio's 15th district, rated R+5 on the partisan voting index, against Democratic nominee Don Leonard. Primaries concluded in May 2026, setting up the November 3 general election. A July 2026 poll showed Carey at 45% and Leonard at 40%, indicating competitiveness, yet broader ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Republican. Trader positioning at 78.5% for Republicans versus 22.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in modestly Republican-leaning districts, with limited late-cycle developments reported to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,135Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural edge in Ohio's 15th district, rated R+5 on the partisan voting index, against Democratic nominee Don Leonard. Primaries concluded in May 2026, setting up the November 3 general election. A July 2026 poll showed Carey at 45% and Leonard at 40%, indicating competitiveness, yet broader ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Republican. Trader positioning at 78.5% for Republicans versus 22.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns favoring incumbents in modestly Republican-leaning districts, with limited late-cycle developments reported to shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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