Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions faces Democrat Casey Shepard in Texas's 17th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting that produced a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024, underpins the 93% Republican implied probability in the market. Sessions secured the nomination without primary opposition, while Shepard emerged from a May runoff, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan fundamentals and the incumbent's prior 66% general election performance. Low Democratic fundraising and absent polling shifts have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave could narrow the gap, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-17 House Election Winner
TX-17 House Election Winner
$47,148 KL.
$47,148 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$47,148 KL.
$47,148 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,079 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$24,069 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions faces Democrat Casey Shepard in Texas's 17th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting that produced a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024, underpins the 93% Republican implied probability in the market. Sessions secured the nomination without primary opposition, while Shepard emerged from a May runoff, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan fundamentals and the incumbent's prior 66% general election performance. Low Democratic fundraising and absent polling shifts have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave could narrow the gap, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,148Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions faces Democrat Casey Shepard in Texas's 17th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting that produced a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024, underpins the 93% Republican implied probability in the market. Sessions secured the nomination without primary opposition, while Shepard emerged from a May runoff, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan fundamentals and the incumbent's prior 66% general election performance. Low Democratic fundraising and absent polling shifts have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave could narrow the gap, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$47,148Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions faces Democrat Casey Shepard in Texas's 17th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by recent redistricting that produced a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024, underpins the 93% Republican implied probability in the market. Sessions secured the nomination without primary opposition, while Shepard emerged from a May runoff, but forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan fundamentals and the incumbent's prior 66% general election performance. Low Democratic fundraising and absent polling shifts have kept probabilities stable. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave could narrow the gap, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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