Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in the November 2026 election for New York’s 17th congressional district, a competitive Lower Hudson Valley seat that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The market’s Democratic lean reflects midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party, combined with the district’s swing character and Lawler’s narrow 2024 reelection margin. Recent polling from late July showed Lawler ahead by five points, though the race remains rated a tossup by forecasters. Primaries concluded in June without major disruptions, leaving candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national political conditions as primary variables that could shift trader assessments before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
32%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,931 KL.
69%
Republican Party
$3,564 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in the November 2026 election for New York’s 17th congressional district, a competitive Lower Hudson Valley seat that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The market’s Democratic lean reflects midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party, combined with the district’s swing character and Lawler’s narrow 2024 reelection margin. Recent polling from late July showed Lawler ahead by five points, though the race remains rated a tossup by forecasters. Primaries concluded in June without major disruptions, leaving candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national political conditions as primary variables that could shift trader assessments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,495Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in the November 2026 election for New York’s 17th congressional district, a competitive Lower Hudson Valley seat that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The market’s Democratic lean reflects midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party, combined with the district’s swing character and Lawler’s narrow 2024 reelection margin. Recent polling from late July showed Lawler ahead by five points, though the race remains rated a tossup by forecasters. Primaries concluded in June without major disruptions, leaving candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national political conditions as primary variables that could shift trader assessments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,495Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler faces Democrat Cait Conley in the November 2026 election for New York’s 17th congressional district, a competitive Lower Hudson Valley seat that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The market’s Democratic lean reflects midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party, combined with the district’s swing character and Lawler’s narrow 2024 reelection margin. Recent polling from late July showed Lawler ahead by five points, though the race remains rated a tossup by forecasters. Primaries concluded in June without major disruptions, leaving candidate recruitment, fundraising, and national political conditions as primary variables that could shift trader assessments before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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