Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the top-two primary scheduled for June 2. The seat shifted to a solid Democratic lean following redistricting, as reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With no major recent developments altering the fundamentals, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance from the primary and hold the seat, though an unforeseen scandal or significant primary upset could introduce limited volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,162 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$6,700 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the top-two primary scheduled for June 2. The seat shifted to a solid Democratic lean following redistricting, as reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With no major recent developments altering the fundamentals, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance from the primary and hold the seat, though an unforeseen scandal or significant primary upset could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,862Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the top-two primary scheduled for June 2. The seat shifted to a solid Democratic lean following redistricting, as reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With no major recent developments altering the fundamentals, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance from the primary and hold the seat, though an unforeseen scandal or significant primary upset could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,862Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the top-two primary scheduled for June 2. The seat shifted to a solid Democratic lean following redistricting, as reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential voting patterns favoring Democrats by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With no major recent developments altering the fundamentals, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance from the primary and hold the seat, though an unforeseen scandal or significant primary upset could introduce limited volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp