Trader consensus favors Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, despite late March polls showing incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo with a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 39%-38% (Noble Predictive Insights) or 40%-37% (other surveys)—amid 17-23% undecided voters. This positioning reflects Nevada's battleground status, Democratic dominance in Clark County (Las Vegas), Ford's strong Q1 fundraising ($1.5 million), and potential to consolidate independents and moderates ahead of the June 9 primaries. High undecideds and polarized support underscore the closely contested path-to-victory for both parties in the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNevada Governor Election Winner
Nevada Governor Election Winner
$20,953 KL.
$20,953 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
57%
Republican
43%
$20,953 KL.
$20,953 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,295 KL.
57%
Republican
$15,658 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, despite late March polls showing incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo with a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 39%-38% (Noble Predictive Insights) or 40%-37% (other surveys)—amid 17-23% undecided voters. This positioning reflects Nevada's battleground status, Democratic dominance in Clark County (Las Vegas), Ford's strong Q1 fundraising ($1.5 million), and potential to consolidate independents and moderates ahead of the June 9 primaries. High undecideds and polarized support underscore the closely contested path-to-victory for both parties in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,953Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, despite late March polls showing incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo with a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 39%-38% (Noble Predictive Insights) or 40%-37% (other surveys)—amid 17-23% undecided voters. This positioning reflects Nevada's battleground status, Democratic dominance in Clark County (Las Vegas), Ford's strong Q1 fundraising ($1.5 million), and potential to consolidate independents and moderates ahead of the June 9 primaries. High undecideds and polarized support underscore the closely contested path-to-victory for both parties in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$20,953Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, despite late March polls showing incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo with a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford—such as 39%-38% (Noble Predictive Insights) or 40%-37% (other surveys)—amid 17-23% undecided voters. This positioning reflects Nevada's battleground status, Democratic dominance in Clark County (Las Vegas), Ford's strong Q1 fundraising ($1.5 million), and potential to consolidate independents and moderates ahead of the June 9 primaries. High undecideds and polarized support underscore the closely contested path-to-victory for both parties in the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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