Democrat Analilia Mejia's decisive projected victory in the April 16, 2026, special election for New Jersey's 11th Congressional District—replacing Gov. Mikie Sherrill—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88.5%. With over 60% of votes counted, Mejia leads Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 33 points, dominating in Democratic strongholds like Essex (D+44 margin) and Morris (D+26), consistent with the district's partisan lean (Harris +8, Sherrill +15 in 2024). A March poll showed her strong lead amid high Democratic turnout, underscoring the blue-leaning battleground's dynamics. Markets await final certification, but slim Republican paths remain amid mail-in ballot processing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,371 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$0 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Analilia Mejia's decisive projected victory in the April 16, 2026, special election for New Jersey's 11th Congressional District—replacing Gov. Mikie Sherrill—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88.5%. With over 60% of votes counted, Mejia leads Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 33 points, dominating in Democratic strongholds like Essex (D+44 margin) and Morris (D+26), consistent with the district's partisan lean (Harris +8, Sherrill +15 in 2024). A March poll showed her strong lead amid high Democratic turnout, underscoring the blue-leaning battleground's dynamics. Markets await final certification, but slim Republican paths remain amid mail-in ballot processing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,371Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Analilia Mejia's decisive projected victory in the April 16, 2026, special election for New Jersey's 11th Congressional District—replacing Gov. Mikie Sherrill—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88.5%. With over 60% of votes counted, Mejia leads Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 33 points, dominating in Democratic strongholds like Essex (D+44 margin) and Morris (D+26), consistent with the district's partisan lean (Harris +8, Sherrill +15 in 2024). A March poll showed her strong lead amid high Democratic turnout, underscoring the blue-leaning battleground's dynamics. Markets await final certification, but slim Republican paths remain amid mail-in ballot processing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,371Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Analilia Mejia's decisive projected victory in the April 16, 2026, special election for New Jersey's 11th Congressional District—replacing Gov. Mikie Sherrill—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88.5%. With over 60% of votes counted, Mejia leads Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 33 points, dominating in Democratic strongholds like Essex (D+44 margin) and Morris (D+26), consistent with the district's partisan lean (Harris +8, Sherrill +15 in 2024). A March poll showed her strong lead amid high Democratic turnout, underscoring the blue-leaning battleground's dynamics. Markets await final certification, but slim Republican paths remain amid mail-in ballot processing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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