New Jersey's 11th congressional district has shown a consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the April 2026 special election victory by Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia over Republican Joe Hathaway. Mejia, now the incumbent seeking the full term, benefits from strong primary performance and established name recognition in a district that has trended away from its prior Republican lean. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a significant national Republican surge, a major candidate-specific development such as a scandal or health issue, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district's structural partisan balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,527 KL.
$39,527 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,527 KL.
$39,527 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,573 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$15,955 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 11th congressional district has shown a consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the April 2026 special election victory by Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia over Republican Joe Hathaway. Mejia, now the incumbent seeking the full term, benefits from strong primary performance and established name recognition in a district that has trended away from its prior Republican lean. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a significant national Republican surge, a major candidate-specific development such as a scandal or health issue, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district's structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,527Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 11th congressional district has shown a consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the April 2026 special election victory by Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia over Republican Joe Hathaway. Mejia, now the incumbent seeking the full term, benefits from strong primary performance and established name recognition in a district that has trended away from its prior Republican lean. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a significant national Republican surge, a major candidate-specific development such as a scandal or health issue, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district's structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,527Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 11th congressional district has shown a consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the April 2026 special election victory by Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia over Republican Joe Hathaway. Mejia, now the incumbent seeking the full term, benefits from strong primary performance and established name recognition in a district that has trended away from its prior Republican lean. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a significant national Republican surge, a major candidate-specific development such as a scandal or health issue, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district's structural partisan balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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