Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The reliably Democratic seat, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, features a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee’s narrow primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in March consolidated Democratic support without fracturing the coalition. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$19,397 KL.
$19,397 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$19,397 KL.
$19,397 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,756 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$5,642 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The reliably Democratic seat, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, features a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee’s narrow primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in March consolidated Democratic support without fracturing the coalition. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,397Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The reliably Democratic seat, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, features a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee’s narrow primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in March consolidated Democratic support without fracturing the coalition. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,397Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The reliably Democratic seat, encompassing Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, features a strong partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Foushee’s narrow primary victory over challenger Nida Allam in March consolidated Democratic support without fracturing the coalition. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp