North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with former President Trump projected to carry it by 14 points under maps redrawn in October 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Greg Murphy, unopposed in the March 3 GOP primary, holds a fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in this safe seat rated a longshot for Democrats by Cook Political Report. Dr. Raymond Smith secured the Democratic nomination that day over Allison Jaslow, but no recent polls or developments have narrowed the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent national wave turnout shifts or scandals, structural factors sustain GOP dominance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$16,748 KL.
$16,748 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$16,748 KL.
$16,748 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,779 KL.
85%
Democratic Party
$3,969 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with former President Trump projected to carry it by 14 points under maps redrawn in October 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Greg Murphy, unopposed in the March 3 GOP primary, holds a fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in this safe seat rated a longshot for Democrats by Cook Political Report. Dr. Raymond Smith secured the Democratic nomination that day over Allison Jaslow, but no recent polls or developments have narrowed the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent national wave turnout shifts or scandals, structural factors sustain GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,748Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with former President Trump projected to carry it by 14 points under maps redrawn in October 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Greg Murphy, unopposed in the March 3 GOP primary, holds a fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in this safe seat rated a longshot for Democrats by Cook Political Report. Dr. Raymond Smith secured the Democratic nomination that day over Allison Jaslow, but no recent polls or developments have narrowed the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent national wave turnout shifts or scandals, structural factors sustain GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,748Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with former President Trump projected to carry it by 14 points under maps redrawn in October 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party. Incumbent Rep. Greg Murphy, unopposed in the March 3 GOP primary, holds a fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in this safe seat rated a longshot for Democrats by Cook Political Report. Dr. Raymond Smith secured the Democratic nomination that day over Allison Jaslow, but no recent polls or developments have narrowed the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent national wave turnout shifts or scandals, structural factors sustain GOP dominance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp