Iowa’s 1st congressional district features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, who lost by fewer than 800 votes in 2024. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 2026 primaries. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and holds toss-up status across major rating outlets. Recent polling averages show Bohannan holding a modest lead, while trader pricing on prediction platforms assigns the Democratic nominee an implied probability above 70 percent. Midterm dynamics, candidate name recognition, and the narrow prior margin continue to shape positioning ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
28%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,597 KL.
73%
Republican Party
$2,390 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 1st congressional district features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, who lost by fewer than 800 votes in 2024. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 2026 primaries. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and holds toss-up status across major rating outlets. Recent polling averages show Bohannan holding a modest lead, while trader pricing on prediction platforms assigns the Democratic nominee an implied probability above 70 percent. Midterm dynamics, candidate name recognition, and the narrow prior margin continue to shape positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,987Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s 1st congressional district features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, who lost by fewer than 800 votes in 2024. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 2026 primaries. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and holds toss-up status across major rating outlets. Recent polling averages show Bohannan holding a modest lead, while trader pricing on prediction platforms assigns the Democratic nominee an implied probability above 70 percent. Midterm dynamics, candidate name recognition, and the narrow prior margin continue to shape positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,987Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s 1st congressional district features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, who lost by fewer than 800 votes in 2024. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 2026 primaries. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and holds toss-up status across major rating outlets. Recent polling averages show Bohannan holding a modest lead, while trader pricing on prediction platforms assigns the Democratic nominee an implied probability above 70 percent. Midterm dynamics, candidate name recognition, and the narrow prior margin continue to shape positioning ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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