Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win at 66% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's edge as the presumptive nominee following the Democratic primary field's consolidation in late March, when a state panel disqualified a challenger and others like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst endorsed her. Recent polls, including a December 2025 Change Research survey showing Trone Garriott ahead of incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn 53%-40%, alongside her superior fundraising—outraising Nunn per latest reports—have boosted probabilities in this toss-up rated by Cook Political Report. Nunn's narrow 2024 reelection victory underscores the battleground nature, with the June 2 primaries poised to set the general election matchup ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
31%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$420 KL.
67%
Republican Party
$82 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win at 66% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's edge as the presumptive nominee following the Democratic primary field's consolidation in late March, when a state panel disqualified a challenger and others like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst endorsed her. Recent polls, including a December 2025 Change Research survey showing Trone Garriott ahead of incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn 53%-40%, alongside her superior fundraising—outraising Nunn per latest reports—have boosted probabilities in this toss-up rated by Cook Political Report. Nunn's narrow 2024 reelection victory underscores the battleground nature, with the June 2 primaries poised to set the general election matchup ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$502Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win at 66% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's edge as the presumptive nominee following the Democratic primary field's consolidation in late March, when a state panel disqualified a challenger and others like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst endorsed her. Recent polls, including a December 2025 Change Research survey showing Trone Garriott ahead of incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn 53%-40%, alongside her superior fundraising—outraising Nunn per latest reports—have boosted probabilities in this toss-up rated by Cook Political Report. Nunn's narrow 2024 reelection victory underscores the battleground nature, with the June 2 primaries poised to set the general election matchup ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$502Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win at 66% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's edge as the presumptive nominee following the Democratic primary field's consolidation in late March, when a state panel disqualified a challenger and others like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst endorsed her. Recent polls, including a December 2025 Change Research survey showing Trone Garriott ahead of incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn 53%-40%, alongside her superior fundraising—outraising Nunn per latest reports—have boosted probabilities in this toss-up rated by Cook Political Report. Nunn's narrow 2024 reelection victory underscores the battleground nature, with the June 2 primaries poised to set the general election matchup ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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