The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
33%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,266 KL.
76%
Republican Party
$1,020 KL.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,286Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,286Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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