Recent redistricting in Missouri, upheld by the state Supreme Court in mid-May 2026, has reshaped the 5th District by dividing its Kansas City core and suburban areas, shifting the partisan balance toward Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election against a crowded Republican field that includes state Sen. Rick Brattin. This map change, part of broader GOP efforts ahead of the midterms, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 66%, while the Democratic share at 29.5% reflects the district’s remaining urban base and Cleaver’s long incumbency. Primary outcomes and any late legal challenges to the lines remain key variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
30%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,756 KL.
66%
Democratic Party
$1,171 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Missouri, upheld by the state Supreme Court in mid-May 2026, has reshaped the 5th District by dividing its Kansas City core and suburban areas, shifting the partisan balance toward Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election against a crowded Republican field that includes state Sen. Rick Brattin. This map change, part of broader GOP efforts ahead of the midterms, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 66%, while the Democratic share at 29.5% reflects the district’s remaining urban base and Cleaver’s long incumbency. Primary outcomes and any late legal challenges to the lines remain key variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,928Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting in Missouri, upheld by the state Supreme Court in mid-May 2026, has reshaped the 5th District by dividing its Kansas City core and suburban areas, shifting the partisan balance toward Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election against a crowded Republican field that includes state Sen. Rick Brattin. This map change, part of broader GOP efforts ahead of the midterms, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 66%, while the Democratic share at 29.5% reflects the district’s remaining urban base and Cleaver’s long incumbency. Primary outcomes and any late legal challenges to the lines remain key variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,928Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting in Missouri, upheld by the state Supreme Court in mid-May 2026, has reshaped the 5th District by dividing its Kansas City core and suburban areas, shifting the partisan balance toward Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election against a crowded Republican field that includes state Sen. Rick Brattin. This map change, part of broader GOP efforts ahead of the midterms, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican winner at 66%, while the Democratic share at 29.5% reflects the district’s remaining urban base and Cleaver’s long incumbency. Primary outcomes and any late legal challenges to the lines remain key variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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