The Missouri Supreme Court’s September 3 ruling that the 2025 redrawn congressional map cannot be used for the November general election—and that prior district lines remain in effect—has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The decision also placed a referendum on the new boundaries on the November ballot, preserving the configuration under which incumbent Emanuel Cleaver won reelection with roughly 60 percent in 2024. Rick Brattin’s August 4 Republican primary victory, aided by a late Trump endorsement, sets up the matchup, yet the reversion to the older, more urban and Democratic-leaning lines has sharply reduced the new map’s intended Republican advantage. No further court action has altered the timeline ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,289 KL.
$19,289 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
20%
$19,289 KL.
$19,289 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,436 KL.
78%
Republican Party
$12,853 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court’s September 3 ruling that the 2025 redrawn congressional map cannot be used for the November general election—and that prior district lines remain in effect—has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The decision also placed a referendum on the new boundaries on the November ballot, preserving the configuration under which incumbent Emanuel Cleaver won reelection with roughly 60 percent in 2024. Rick Brattin’s August 4 Republican primary victory, aided by a late Trump endorsement, sets up the matchup, yet the reversion to the older, more urban and Democratic-leaning lines has sharply reduced the new map’s intended Republican advantage. No further court action has altered the timeline ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,289Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court’s September 3 ruling that the 2025 redrawn congressional map cannot be used for the November general election—and that prior district lines remain in effect—has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The decision also placed a referendum on the new boundaries on the November ballot, preserving the configuration under which incumbent Emanuel Cleaver won reelection with roughly 60 percent in 2024. Rick Brattin’s August 4 Republican primary victory, aided by a late Trump endorsement, sets up the matchup, yet the reversion to the older, more urban and Democratic-leaning lines has sharply reduced the new map’s intended Republican advantage. No further court action has altered the timeline ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,289Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri Supreme Court’s September 3 ruling that the 2025 redrawn congressional map cannot be used for the November general election—and that prior district lines remain in effect—has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The decision also placed a referendum on the new boundaries on the November ballot, preserving the configuration under which incumbent Emanuel Cleaver won reelection with roughly 60 percent in 2024. Rick Brattin’s August 4 Republican primary victory, aided by a late Trump endorsement, sets up the matchup, yet the reversion to the older, more urban and Democratic-leaning lines has sharply reduced the new map’s intended Republican advantage. No further court action has altered the timeline ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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