Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+6 that delivered her 54.5% in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s composition and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. National Democrats placed the seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, drawing several Democratic primary contenders, yet no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have altered the structural edge for the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 77% for the Republican Party aligns with these district fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar terrain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
21%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,148 KL.
77%
Democratic Party
$2,238 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+6 that delivered her 54.5% in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s composition and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. National Democrats placed the seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, drawing several Democratic primary contenders, yet no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have altered the structural edge for the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 77% for the Republican Party aligns with these district fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,386Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+6 that delivered her 54.5% in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s composition and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. National Democrats placed the seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, drawing several Democratic primary contenders, yet no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have altered the structural edge for the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 77% for the Republican Party aligns with these district fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,386Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+6 that delivered her 54.5% in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s composition and the advantages of incumbency ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. National Democrats placed the seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, drawing several Democratic primary contenders, yet no major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have altered the structural edge for the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at 77% for the Republican Party aligns with these district fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar terrain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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