Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Missouri's 6th congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI and history of lopsided GOP victories, even after incumbent Sam Graves' March 27 retirement announcement opened the race. Recent candidate filings by March 31 featured a crowded six-way Republican primary—including radio host Chris Stigall, endorsed by Graves, and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett—contrasted with three underfunded Democratic contenders, solidifying the seat's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. While a contentious GOP primary on August 4 could weaken the nominee, or a national midterm wave boost Democrats, such shifts remain low-probability absent major scandals or high-profile recruits.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$27,989 KL.
$27,989 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$27,989 KL.
$27,989 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,434 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Missouri's 6th congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI and history of lopsided GOP victories, even after incumbent Sam Graves' March 27 retirement announcement opened the race. Recent candidate filings by March 31 featured a crowded six-way Republican primary—including radio host Chris Stigall, endorsed by Graves, and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett—contrasted with three underfunded Democratic contenders, solidifying the seat's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. While a contentious GOP primary on August 4 could weaken the nominee, or a national midterm wave boost Democrats, such shifts remain low-probability absent major scandals or high-profile recruits.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,989Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Missouri's 6th congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI and history of lopsided GOP victories, even after incumbent Sam Graves' March 27 retirement announcement opened the race. Recent candidate filings by March 31 featured a crowded six-way Republican primary—including radio host Chris Stigall, endorsed by Graves, and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett—contrasted with three underfunded Democratic contenders, solidifying the seat's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. While a contentious GOP primary on August 4 could weaken the nominee, or a national midterm wave boost Democrats, such shifts remain low-probability absent major scandals or high-profile recruits.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,989Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Missouri's 6th congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+19 Cook PVI and history of lopsided GOP victories, even after incumbent Sam Graves' March 27 retirement announcement opened the race. Recent candidate filings by March 31 featured a crowded six-way Republican primary—including radio host Chris Stigall, endorsed by Graves, and Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett—contrasted with three underfunded Democratic contenders, solidifying the seat's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others. While a contentious GOP primary on August 4 could weaken the nominee, or a national midterm wave boost Democrats, such shifts remain low-probability absent major scandals or high-profile recruits.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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