Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$42,533 KL.
$42,533 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$42,533 KL.
$42,533 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,128 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,404 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,533Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,533Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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