Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's commanding position in the D+29 Missouri 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent filing deadline revelations on March 31 highlighted Bell's fundraising dominance ($1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $120,000) and a weak Republican primary field featuring repeat losers Andrew Jones Jr. and Paul Berry. Bell's April 8 endorsement from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries further solidified the incumbent advantage ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary rematch. While a national GOP midterm wave, nominee scandal, or extraordinary turnout shift could challenge this, historical 70%+ Democratic margins in St. Louis anchor the odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$11,684 KL.
$11,684 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$11,684 KL.
$11,684 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,498 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$6,187 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's commanding position in the D+29 Missouri 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent filing deadline revelations on March 31 highlighted Bell's fundraising dominance ($1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $120,000) and a weak Republican primary field featuring repeat losers Andrew Jones Jr. and Paul Berry. Bell's April 8 endorsement from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries further solidified the incumbent advantage ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary rematch. While a national GOP midterm wave, nominee scandal, or extraordinary turnout shift could challenge this, historical 70%+ Democratic margins in St. Louis anchor the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,684Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's commanding position in the D+29 Missouri 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent filing deadline revelations on March 31 highlighted Bell's fundraising dominance ($1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $120,000) and a weak Republican primary field featuring repeat losers Andrew Jones Jr. and Paul Berry. Bell's April 8 endorsement from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries further solidified the incumbent advantage ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary rematch. While a national GOP midterm wave, nominee scandal, or extraordinary turnout shift could challenge this, historical 70%+ Democratic margins in St. Louis anchor the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,684Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's commanding position in the D+29 Missouri 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3 general election. Recent filing deadline revelations on March 31 highlighted Bell's fundraising dominance ($1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $120,000) and a weak Republican primary field featuring repeat losers Andrew Jones Jr. and Paul Berry. Bell's April 8 endorsement from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries further solidified the incumbent advantage ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary rematch. While a national GOP midterm wave, nominee scandal, or extraordinary turnout shift could challenge this, historical 70%+ Democratic margins in St. Louis anchor the odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp