Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+29 and delivered 75.9% for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell faces a contested August primary rematch against Cori Bush, yet the district’s consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure keep the party’s general-election nominee heavily favored. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects these structural factors. A credible Democratic scandal or an unforeseen national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given current fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$23,823 KL.
$23,823 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$23,823 KL.
$23,823 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,674 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$10,149 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+29 and delivered 75.9% for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell faces a contested August primary rematch against Cori Bush, yet the district’s consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure keep the party’s general-election nominee heavily favored. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects these structural factors. A credible Democratic scandal or an unforeseen national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,823Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+29 and delivered 75.9% for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell faces a contested August primary rematch against Cori Bush, yet the district’s consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure keep the party’s general-election nominee heavily favored. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects these structural factors. A credible Democratic scandal or an unforeseen national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,823Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+29 and delivered 75.9% for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. Race raters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell faces a contested August primary rematch against Cori Bush, yet the district’s consistent partisan lean and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure keep the party’s general-election nominee heavily favored. Trader consensus at 93.5% reflects these structural factors. A credible Democratic scandal or an unforeseen national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given current fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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