Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, holding Georgia's 4th Congressional District since 2007, drives trader consensus with a commanding 94.7% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026, in this D+27 Cook PVI seat where Biden would carry 78% based on 2024 results. Recent Democratic primary filings ahead of the May 19 contest reveal minor challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman lacking fundraising, while Johnson's $297,000 raised underscores his dominance; the Republican primary features only James Duffie. Historical blowouts—Johnson's 75.6% in 2024, 78.5% in 2022—cement the safe Democratic rating from Cook and Sabato, with upset scenarios limited to primary shock, scandal, or health crisis shifting turnout dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$13,240 KL.
$13,240 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$13,240 KL.
$13,240 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,357 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$4,883 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, holding Georgia's 4th Congressional District since 2007, drives trader consensus with a commanding 94.7% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026, in this D+27 Cook PVI seat where Biden would carry 78% based on 2024 results. Recent Democratic primary filings ahead of the May 19 contest reveal minor challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman lacking fundraising, while Johnson's $297,000 raised underscores his dominance; the Republican primary features only James Duffie. Historical blowouts—Johnson's 75.6% in 2024, 78.5% in 2022—cement the safe Democratic rating from Cook and Sabato, with upset scenarios limited to primary shock, scandal, or health crisis shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,240Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, holding Georgia's 4th Congressional District since 2007, drives trader consensus with a commanding 94.7% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026, in this D+27 Cook PVI seat where Biden would carry 78% based on 2024 results. Recent Democratic primary filings ahead of the May 19 contest reveal minor challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman lacking fundraising, while Johnson's $297,000 raised underscores his dominance; the Republican primary features only James Duffie. Historical blowouts—Johnson's 75.6% in 2024, 78.5% in 2022—cement the safe Democratic rating from Cook and Sabato, with upset scenarios limited to primary shock, scandal, or health crisis shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,240Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, holding Georgia's 4th Congressional District since 2007, drives trader consensus with a commanding 94.7% implied probability for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026, in this D+27 Cook PVI seat where Biden would carry 78% based on 2024 results. Recent Democratic primary filings ahead of the May 19 contest reveal minor challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman lacking fundraising, while Johnson's $297,000 raised underscores his dominance; the Republican primary features only James Duffie. Historical blowouts—Johnson's 75.6% in 2024, 78.5% in 2022—cement the safe Democratic rating from Cook and Sabato, with upset scenarios limited to primary shock, scandal, or health crisis shifting turnout dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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