Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% implied probability for Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat due to its Solid Republican rating (R+7 partisan voting index) and history of GOP general election margins exceeding 60%, even after incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race. Recent momentum stems from Sydney Gruters' April 2 campaign launch with prior Trump endorsement, joined by well-funded Republican primary contenders John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir per early April fundraising reports showing GOP cash advantages. Democrats, with candidates including Jonathan Harris, Tamika Lyles, Glenn Pearson, and Jan Schneider, face an uphill battle in the GOP-leaning Sarasota-Manatee district ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$12,440 KL.
$12,440 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
20%
$12,440 KL.
$12,440 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,302 KL.
75%
Democratic Party
$8,138 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% implied probability for Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat due to its Solid Republican rating (R+7 partisan voting index) and history of GOP general election margins exceeding 60%, even after incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race. Recent momentum stems from Sydney Gruters' April 2 campaign launch with prior Trump endorsement, joined by well-funded Republican primary contenders John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir per early April fundraising reports showing GOP cash advantages. Democrats, with candidates including Jonathan Harris, Tamika Lyles, Glenn Pearson, and Jan Schneider, face an uphill battle in the GOP-leaning Sarasota-Manatee district ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,440Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% implied probability for Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat due to its Solid Republican rating (R+7 partisan voting index) and history of GOP general election margins exceeding 60%, even after incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race. Recent momentum stems from Sydney Gruters' April 2 campaign launch with prior Trump endorsement, joined by well-funded Republican primary contenders John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir per early April fundraising reports showing GOP cash advantages. Democrats, with candidates including Jonathan Harris, Tamika Lyles, Glenn Pearson, and Jan Schneider, face an uphill battle in the GOP-leaning Sarasota-Manatee district ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$12,440Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% implied probability for Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat due to its Solid Republican rating (R+7 partisan voting index) and history of GOP general election margins exceeding 60%, even after incumbent Vern Buchanan's January retirement opened the race. Recent momentum stems from Sydney Gruters' April 2 campaign launch with prior Trump endorsement, joined by well-funded Republican primary contenders John Peters, Ed Pope, and Eddie Speir per early April fundraising reports showing GOP cash advantages. Democrats, with candidates including Jonathan Harris, Tamika Lyles, Glenn Pearson, and Jan Schneider, face an uphill battle in the GOP-leaning Sarasota-Manatee district ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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