Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
26%
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
26%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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