The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
26%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 KL.
75%
Republican Party
$1,195 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,810Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,810Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Arizona’s competitive 1st District, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent David Schweikert, has produced a toss-up general election matchup between Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely after both won their July 21 primaries. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, reflecting the district’s narrow partisan balance—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024 while Schweikert prevailed by a similar margin. Traders have priced Democratic odds at 75 percent, consistent with the open-seat advantage for the challenging party and Shah’s name recognition from his 2024 bid, though the slim Republican primary margin and absence of new polling since the primaries leave room for movement ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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