The Parti Québécois maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates around 28-30 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained francophone backing and the campaign's early dynamics, though the CAQ has narrowed the gap sharply in late August surveys, gaining 5-7 points to reach 24-27 percent amid voter concerns over U.S. tariffs and trade instability that favor the incumbent party's experience under new leader Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further at 20-22 percent with limited francophone appeal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire register lower single-digit to mid-teen shares concentrated in specific regions like Quebec City. Seat projections reflect a competitive race favoring a PQ plurality or minority government over a majority, with tight multi-party contests across ridings shaping the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 66%
CAQ 31%
PLQ 6%
PCQ <1%
$869,545 KL.
$869,545 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
66%
CAQ
31%
PLQ
6%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 66%
CAQ 31%
PLQ 6%
PCQ <1%
$869,545 KL.
$869,545 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$110,836 KL.
66%
CAQ
$134,994 KL.
31%
PLQ
$121,391 KL.
6%
PCQ
$240,279 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 KL.
<1%
QS
$104,523 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates around 28-30 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained francophone backing and the campaign's early dynamics, though the CAQ has narrowed the gap sharply in late August surveys, gaining 5-7 points to reach 24-27 percent amid voter concerns over U.S. tariffs and trade instability that favor the incumbent party's experience under new leader Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further at 20-22 percent with limited francophone appeal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire register lower single-digit to mid-teen shares concentrated in specific regions like Quebec City. Seat projections reflect a competitive race favoring a PQ plurality or minority government over a majority, with tight multi-party contests across ridings shaping the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$869,545Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates around 28-30 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained francophone backing and the campaign's early dynamics, though the CAQ has narrowed the gap sharply in late August surveys, gaining 5-7 points to reach 24-27 percent amid voter concerns over U.S. tariffs and trade instability that favor the incumbent party's experience under new leader Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further at 20-22 percent with limited francophone appeal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire register lower single-digit to mid-teen shares concentrated in specific regions like Quebec City. Seat projections reflect a competitive race favoring a PQ plurality or minority government over a majority, with tight multi-party contests across ridings shaping the outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$869,545Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates around 28-30 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PQ's advantage stems from sustained francophone backing and the campaign's early dynamics, though the CAQ has narrowed the gap sharply in late August surveys, gaining 5-7 points to reach 24-27 percent amid voter concerns over U.S. tariffs and trade instability that favor the incumbent party's experience under new leader Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further at 20-22 percent with limited francophone appeal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire register lower single-digit to mid-teen shares concentrated in specific regions like Quebec City. Seat projections reflect a competitive race favoring a PQ plurality or minority government over a majority, with tight multi-party contests across ridings shaping the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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