Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even Partisan Voter Index and razor-thin 2024 results that left Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani at 50 percent. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race a toss-up ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Recent polling shows Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran and strong fundraiser, holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups. National conditions favoring Democratic gains in battleground districts, combined with Mendoza’s targeted campaign and the seat’s history of close outcomes, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at roughly 79 percent implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
23%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$490 KL.
81%
Republican Party
$969 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even Partisan Voter Index and razor-thin 2024 results that left Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani at 50 percent. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race a toss-up ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Recent polling shows Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran and strong fundraiser, holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups. National conditions favoring Democratic gains in battleground districts, combined with Mendoza’s targeted campaign and the seat’s history of close outcomes, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at roughly 79 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,459Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even Partisan Voter Index and razor-thin 2024 results that left Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani at 50 percent. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race a toss-up ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Recent polling shows Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran and strong fundraiser, holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups. National conditions favoring Democratic gains in battleground districts, combined with Mendoza’s targeted campaign and the seat’s history of close outcomes, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at roughly 79 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,459Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even Partisan Voter Index and razor-thin 2024 results that left Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani at 50 percent. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race a toss-up ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election. Recent polling shows Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran and strong fundraiser, holding narrow leads or statistical ties in head-to-head matchups. National conditions favoring Democratic gains in battleground districts, combined with Mendoza’s targeted campaign and the seat’s history of close outcomes, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at roughly 79 percent implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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