Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most evenly balanced House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of even following narrow presidential results in 2020 and 2024. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holding a slim lead over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani, contributing to trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Both candidates cleared their primaries scheduled for July 21, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Fundraising totals and the midterm environment continue to shape expectations for this battleground contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
24%
Democratic Party
46%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$969 KL.
24%
Democratic Party
$490 KL.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most evenly balanced House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of even following narrow presidential results in 2020 and 2024. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holding a slim lead over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani, contributing to trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Both candidates cleared their primaries scheduled for July 21, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Fundraising totals and the midterm environment continue to shape expectations for this battleground contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,459Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most evenly balanced House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of even following narrow presidential results in 2020 and 2024. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holding a slim lead over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani, contributing to trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Both candidates cleared their primaries scheduled for July 21, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Fundraising totals and the midterm environment continue to shape expectations for this battleground contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,459Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most evenly balanced House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of even following narrow presidential results in 2020 and 2024. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holding a slim lead over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani, contributing to trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Both candidates cleared their primaries scheduled for July 21, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Fundraising totals and the midterm environment continue to shape expectations for this battleground contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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