Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, secured his party's primary in May 2026 in the Lehigh Valley-based PA-07 district, positioning him to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the seat in 2024. Trader consensus at 76% for Democrats reflects the district's swing character, union-backed candidate profile, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Mackenzie faces no primary opposition, but limited recent polling and fundraising patterns have kept Republican implied probability near 24.5%. Key variables include voter turnout in Lehigh and Northampton counties plus any late-cycle national economic or policy shifts that could alter the current balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
$18,167 KL.
$18,167 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
25%
$18,167 KL.
$18,167 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,476 KL.
76%
Republican Party
$1,691 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, secured his party's primary in May 2026 in the Lehigh Valley-based PA-07 district, positioning him to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the seat in 2024. Trader consensus at 76% for Democrats reflects the district's swing character, union-backed candidate profile, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Mackenzie faces no primary opposition, but limited recent polling and fundraising patterns have kept Republican implied probability near 24.5%. Key variables include voter turnout in Lehigh and Northampton counties plus any late-cycle national economic or policy shifts that could alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,167Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, secured his party's primary in May 2026 in the Lehigh Valley-based PA-07 district, positioning him to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the seat in 2024. Trader consensus at 76% for Democrats reflects the district's swing character, union-backed candidate profile, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Mackenzie faces no primary opposition, but limited recent polling and fundraising patterns have kept Republican implied probability near 24.5%. Key variables include voter turnout in Lehigh and Northampton counties plus any late-cycle national economic or policy shifts that could alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,167Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, secured his party's primary in May 2026 in the Lehigh Valley-based PA-07 district, positioning him to challenge Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the seat in 2024. Trader consensus at 76% for Democrats reflects the district's swing character, union-backed candidate profile, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Mackenzie faces no primary opposition, but limited recent polling and fundraising patterns have kept Republican implied probability near 24.5%. Key variables include voter turnout in Lehigh and Northampton counties plus any late-cycle national economic or policy shifts that could alter the current balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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