Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, with over $1.4 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 74% for Florida's 22nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat she won by 10 points in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's narrow five-point presidential margin. Recent Democratic flips in late March 2026 special elections—including a Palm Beach County state House seat overlapping the district—signal South Florida voter enthusiasm heading into the August 18 primaries and November 3 general. A crowded Republican primary field, featuring Trump-endorsed Dan Franzese and self-funder Herbert Wertheim but no dominant frontrunner, limits GOP competitiveness per Solid Democratic ratings from Cook and others, though midterm volatility under a Republican president tempers certainty. Statewide polls showing Democrats up one on the generic congressional ballot further bolster the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
24%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,838 KL.
74%
Republican Party
$2,595 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, with over $1.4 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 74% for Florida's 22nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat she won by 10 points in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's narrow five-point presidential margin. Recent Democratic flips in late March 2026 special elections—including a Palm Beach County state House seat overlapping the district—signal South Florida voter enthusiasm heading into the August 18 primaries and November 3 general. A crowded Republican primary field, featuring Trump-endorsed Dan Franzese and self-funder Herbert Wertheim but no dominant frontrunner, limits GOP competitiveness per Solid Democratic ratings from Cook and others, though midterm volatility under a Republican president tempers certainty. Statewide polls showing Democrats up one on the generic congressional ballot further bolster the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, with over $1.4 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 74% for Florida's 22nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat she won by 10 points in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's narrow five-point presidential margin. Recent Democratic flips in late March 2026 special elections—including a Palm Beach County state House seat overlapping the district—signal South Florida voter enthusiasm heading into the August 18 primaries and November 3 general. A crowded Republican primary field, featuring Trump-endorsed Dan Franzese and self-funder Herbert Wertheim but no dominant frontrunner, limits GOP competitiveness per Solid Democratic ratings from Cook and others, though midterm volatility under a Republican president tempers certainty. Statewide polls showing Democrats up one on the generic congressional ballot further bolster the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, with over $1.4 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 74% for Florida's 22nd Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+4 seat she won by 10 points in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's narrow five-point presidential margin. Recent Democratic flips in late March 2026 special elections—including a Palm Beach County state House seat overlapping the district—signal South Florida voter enthusiasm heading into the August 18 primaries and November 3 general. A crowded Republican primary field, featuring Trump-endorsed Dan Franzese and self-funder Herbert Wertheim but no dominant frontrunner, limits GOP competitiveness per Solid Democratic ratings from Cook and others, though midterm volatility under a Republican president tempers certainty. Statewide polls showing Democrats up one on the generic congressional ballot further bolster the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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