Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vulnerability in Michigan's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 75.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting scrutiny over March 2026 reports of campaign payments to firms employing his spouse, which Democrats have highlighted as ethical concerns. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring recruits like former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, shows strong recruitment efforts, with recent forums like the April 9 Eaton County event signaling party momentum. GOP odds at 11.5% underscore freshman incumbency risks in this Trump +1 battleground amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, ahead of August 4 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,689 KL.
76%
Republican Party
$1,204 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vulnerability in Michigan's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 75.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting scrutiny over March 2026 reports of campaign payments to firms employing his spouse, which Democrats have highlighted as ethical concerns. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring recruits like former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, shows strong recruitment efforts, with recent forums like the April 9 Eaton County event signaling party momentum. GOP odds at 11.5% underscore freshman incumbency risks in this Trump +1 battleground amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, ahead of August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,894Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vulnerability in Michigan's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 75.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting scrutiny over March 2026 reports of campaign payments to firms employing his spouse, which Democrats have highlighted as ethical concerns. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring recruits like former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, shows strong recruitment efforts, with recent forums like the April 9 Eaton County event signaling party momentum. GOP odds at 11.5% underscore freshman incumbency risks in this Trump +1 battleground amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, ahead of August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,894Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's vulnerability in Michigan's 7th Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 75.5% implied probability for the 2026 House election winner, reflecting scrutiny over March 2026 reports of campaign payments to firms employing his spouse, which Democrats have highlighted as ethical concerns. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring recruits like former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink and Navy veteran Matt Maasdam, shows strong recruitment efforts, with recent forums like the April 9 Eaton County event signaling party momentum. GOP odds at 11.5% underscore freshman incumbency risks in this Trump +1 battleground amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, ahead of August 4 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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