The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created an unusually fluid contest ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The district’s Macomb County core has leaned Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive, with narrow presidential margins and shifting suburban demographics. Democratic primary contenders including Tim Greimel and Eric Chung have drawn early fundraising and organizational attention, while Republican candidates led by Michael Bouchard compete in a crowded field. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the favorite at 63 percent implied probability, reflecting the advantages of an open-seat environment and national midterm dynamics, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent general-election turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
46%
Republican Party
35%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,851 KL.
46%
Republican Party
$1,153 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created an unusually fluid contest ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The district’s Macomb County core has leaned Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive, with narrow presidential margins and shifting suburban demographics. Democratic primary contenders including Tim Greimel and Eric Chung have drawn early fundraising and organizational attention, while Republican candidates led by Michael Bouchard compete in a crowded field. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the favorite at 63 percent implied probability, reflecting the advantages of an open-seat environment and national midterm dynamics, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent general-election turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,004Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created an unusually fluid contest ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The district’s Macomb County core has leaned Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive, with narrow presidential margins and shifting suburban demographics. Democratic primary contenders including Tim Greimel and Eric Chung have drawn early fundraising and organizational attention, while Republican candidates led by Michael Bouchard compete in a crowded field. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the favorite at 63 percent implied probability, reflecting the advantages of an open-seat environment and national midterm dynamics, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent general-election turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,004Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created an unusually fluid contest ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. The district’s Macomb County core has leaned Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive, with narrow presidential margins and shifting suburban demographics. Democratic primary contenders including Tim Greimel and Eric Chung have drawn early fundraising and organizational attention, while Republican candidates led by Michael Bouchard compete in a crowded field. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the favorite at 63 percent implied probability, reflecting the advantages of an open-seat environment and national midterm dynamics, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and subsequent general-election turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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