Nick Begich III, the Republican incumbent who captured Alaska’s at-large House seat in 2024, enters the August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner in a state that has supported Republican presidential candidates in all but one election since statehood. The Democratic field weakened substantially when prominent challenger Matt Schultz withdrew in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, leaving no strong partisan alternative. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, consistent with Alaska’s partisan voting index and the limited polling that shows Begich ahead. These factors underpin the 83.5% Republican and 15% Democratic implied probabilities in the market, with the ranked-choice general election in November unlikely to alter the outcome absent major late developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
$28,094 KL.
$28,094 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
$28,094 KL.
$28,094 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,439 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$21,655 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Begich III, the Republican incumbent who captured Alaska’s at-large House seat in 2024, enters the August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner in a state that has supported Republican presidential candidates in all but one election since statehood. The Democratic field weakened substantially when prominent challenger Matt Schultz withdrew in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, leaving no strong partisan alternative. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, consistent with Alaska’s partisan voting index and the limited polling that shows Begich ahead. These factors underpin the 83.5% Republican and 15% Democratic implied probabilities in the market, with the ranked-choice general election in November unlikely to alter the outcome absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,094Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Begich III, the Republican incumbent who captured Alaska’s at-large House seat in 2024, enters the August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner in a state that has supported Republican presidential candidates in all but one election since statehood. The Democratic field weakened substantially when prominent challenger Matt Schultz withdrew in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, leaving no strong partisan alternative. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, consistent with Alaska’s partisan voting index and the limited polling that shows Begich ahead. These factors underpin the 83.5% Republican and 15% Democratic implied probabilities in the market, with the ranked-choice general election in November unlikely to alter the outcome absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,094Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nick Begich III, the Republican incumbent who captured Alaska’s at-large House seat in 2024, enters the August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner in a state that has supported Republican presidential candidates in all but one election since statehood. The Democratic field weakened substantially when prominent challenger Matt Schultz withdrew in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, leaving no strong partisan alternative. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, consistent with Alaska’s partisan voting index and the limited polling that shows Begich ahead. These factors underpin the 83.5% Republican and 15% Democratic implied probabilities in the market, with the ranked-choice general election in November unlikely to alter the outcome absent major late developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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