Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds the advantage in New York's 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, after flipping the seat in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and recent race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as Solid or Likely Democratic, bolstering his position against presumptive Republican nominee Kailee Buller. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted the race dynamics, leaving trader consensus to reflect Mannion's incumbency benefits, primary outcomes, and the limited time for Republican challengers to gain ground before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
59%
Republican Party
43%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$866 KL.
59%
Republican Party
$807 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds the advantage in New York's 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, after flipping the seat in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and recent race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as Solid or Likely Democratic, bolstering his position against presumptive Republican nominee Kailee Buller. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted the race dynamics, leaving trader consensus to reflect Mannion's incumbency benefits, primary outcomes, and the limited time for Republican challengers to gain ground before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,673Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds the advantage in New York's 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, after flipping the seat in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and recent race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as Solid or Likely Democratic, bolstering his position against presumptive Republican nominee Kailee Buller. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted the race dynamics, leaving trader consensus to reflect Mannion's incumbency benefits, primary outcomes, and the limited time for Republican challengers to gain ground before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,673Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds the advantage in New York's 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, after flipping the seat in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and recent race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as Solid or Likely Democratic, bolstering his position against presumptive Republican nominee Kailee Buller. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted the race dynamics, leaving trader consensus to reflect Mannion's incumbency benefits, primary outcomes, and the limited time for Republican challengers to gain ground before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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