Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York's 22nd congressional district race due to the seat's D+4 partisan voting index, his 2024 victory margin above 54 percent, and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Democratic. The Republican nominee, Kailee Buller, a former USDA official with an agriculture policy background, launched a lower-profile challenge without primary opposition, limiting early visibility and fundraising momentum. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds shifting the race. A Republican surge in midterm turnout, unexpected developments in Mannion's record, or significantly higher spending by national party committees could narrow the gap before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
$14,305 KL.
$14,305 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,305 KL.
$14,305 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,365 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$3,939 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York's 22nd congressional district race due to the seat's D+4 partisan voting index, his 2024 victory margin above 54 percent, and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Democratic. The Republican nominee, Kailee Buller, a former USDA official with an agriculture policy background, launched a lower-profile challenge without primary opposition, limiting early visibility and fundraising momentum. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds shifting the race. A Republican surge in midterm turnout, unexpected developments in Mannion's record, or significantly higher spending by national party committees could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,305Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York's 22nd congressional district race due to the seat's D+4 partisan voting index, his 2024 victory margin above 54 percent, and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Democratic. The Republican nominee, Kailee Buller, a former USDA official with an agriculture policy background, launched a lower-profile challenge without primary opposition, limiting early visibility and fundraising momentum. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds shifting the race. A Republican surge in midterm turnout, unexpected developments in Mannion's record, or significantly higher spending by national party committees could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,305Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York's 22nd congressional district race due to the seat's D+4 partisan voting index, his 2024 victory margin above 54 percent, and a Cook Political Report rating of Likely Democratic. The Republican nominee, Kailee Buller, a former USDA official with an agriculture policy background, launched a lower-profile challenge without primary opposition, limiting early visibility and fundraising momentum. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds shifting the race. A Republican surge in midterm turnout, unexpected developments in Mannion's record, or significantly higher spending by national party committees could narrow the gap before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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