Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries an R+6 partisan voter index and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Garbarino secured the GOP nomination unopposed, while the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Halpin as the nominee. The district’s suburban and rural composition on Long Island has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Garbarino’s established fundraising and legislative record. These structural factors underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus, with limited evidence of shifts from national trends or local developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,131 KL.
$17,131 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
$17,131 KL.
$17,131 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,705 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$10,426 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries an R+6 partisan voter index and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Garbarino secured the GOP nomination unopposed, while the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Halpin as the nominee. The district’s suburban and rural composition on Long Island has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Garbarino’s established fundraising and legislative record. These structural factors underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus, with limited evidence of shifts from national trends or local developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,131Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries an R+6 partisan voter index and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Garbarino secured the GOP nomination unopposed, while the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Halpin as the nominee. The district’s suburban and rural composition on Long Island has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Garbarino’s established fundraising and legislative record. These structural factors underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus, with limited evidence of shifts from national trends or local developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,131Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries an R+6 partisan voter index and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Garbarino secured the GOP nomination unopposed, while the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Halpin as the nominee. The district’s suburban and rural composition on Long Island has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Garbarino’s established fundraising and legislative record. These structural factors underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus, with limited evidence of shifts from national trends or local developments that would alter the balance ahead of the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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