Incumbent Democratic Representative Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote in the D+3 district, while Republican contenders split the remaining support. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's prior general-election margins, the district's suburban and exurban composition east of Seattle, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a GOP upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting Schrier, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that lifts turnout and narrows the partisan gap in this specific district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-08 House Election Winner
WA-08 House Election Winner
$11,563 KL.
$11,563 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,563 KL.
$11,563 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,442 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$6,121 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote in the D+3 district, while Republican contenders split the remaining support. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's prior general-election margins, the district's suburban and exurban composition east of Seattle, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a GOP upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting Schrier, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that lifts turnout and narrows the partisan gap in this specific district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote in the D+3 district, while Republican contenders split the remaining support. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's prior general-election margins, the district's suburban and exurban composition east of Seattle, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a GOP upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting Schrier, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that lifts turnout and narrows the partisan gap in this specific district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote in the D+3 district, while Republican contenders split the remaining support. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's prior general-election margins, the district's suburban and exurban composition east of Seattle, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a GOP upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting Schrier, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that lifts turnout and narrows the partisan gap in this specific district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp