Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote, well ahead of the leading Republican challengers. The district's modest Democratic lean and Schrier's consistent performance since first winning the seat in 2018 underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.6 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, reflecting stable partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in recent cycles. A late national shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent primary results make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-08 House Election Winner
WA-08 House Election Winner
$11,563 KL.
$11,563 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,563 KL.
$11,563 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,442 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,121 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote, well ahead of the leading Republican challengers. The district's modest Democratic lean and Schrier's consistent performance since first winning the seat in 2018 underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.6 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, reflecting stable partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in recent cycles. A late national shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent primary results make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote, well ahead of the leading Republican challengers. The district's modest Democratic lean and Schrier's consistent performance since first winning the seat in 2018 underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.6 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, reflecting stable partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in recent cycles. A late national shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent primary results make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote, well ahead of the leading Republican challengers. The district's modest Democratic lean and Schrier's consistent performance since first winning the seat in 2018 underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.6 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, reflecting stable partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in recent cycles. A late national shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent primary results make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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