Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Washington's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and first-term incumbent Emily Randall's commanding 2024 victory with 56.8% of the vote. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Democratic as of mid-April 2026, reflecting weak Republican challengers Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Randall's recent delivery of $17.9 million in federal infrastructure funds and planned town halls bolster her position. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low upset risk before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$834 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Washington's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and first-term incumbent Emily Randall's commanding 2024 victory with 56.8% of the vote. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Democratic as of mid-April 2026, reflecting weak Republican challengers Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Randall's recent delivery of $17.9 million in federal infrastructure funds and planned town halls bolster her position. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low upset risk before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$834Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Washington's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and first-term incumbent Emily Randall's commanding 2024 victory with 56.8% of the vote. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Democratic as of mid-April 2026, reflecting weak Republican challengers Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Randall's recent delivery of $17.9 million in federal infrastructure funds and planned town halls bolster her position. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low upset risk before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$834Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Washington's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and first-term incumbent Emily Randall's commanding 2024 victory with 56.8% of the vote. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Democratic as of mid-April 2026, reflecting weak Republican challengers Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 top-two primary. Randall's recent delivery of $17.9 million in federal infrastructure funds and planned town halls bolster her position. Realistic challenges include a high-profile GOP recruit, personal scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low upset risk before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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